America selective policy of strong dollar

With its current account deficit close to U.S. $ 600 billion this year and the current deficit of the Confederation to 450 billion dollars, the USA need more of a net-$ 5 billion for the funding for each working day, many of whom from abroad. It is the U.S. 5 per cent in gross domestic product (GDP) in nominal terms. For example, money at speeds conservative multiple of five, influx of foreign funds supported 25 percent of the U.S. economy. A weak dollar is known for the easiest to satisfy this demand for financing and reducing the trade deficit by exports and cheaper imports more expensive. But a weaker dollar reduces the net return from outside own dollars of debt, generate incentives for foreign holders of U.S. bonds to sell. That is the logic behind the U.S. Treasury selective policy of the strong dollar, the reduction of a great encouragement to foreign holders of bonds the USA, Japan, the withdrawal of retirement to the USA.

During a strong dollar policy has officially still the administration of President Bill Clinton on the current government of George W. Bush, U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow, in a Group of Seven (G7) finance ministers’ meeting in mid-July in France, defines the strong dollar policy, what the market is considered low. “Whether you like, too loud, is that you want the people have confidence in your currency you want to see a currency good support for the exchange,” he explained. This explains a good policy of dollars rather than a strong dollar policy. That the snow was really saying is that some foreigners, as the Japanese and Chinese, to continue to buy U.S. bonds.

Governor of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke S noticed there is the National Economists Club in Washington, DC, November last year, 21: “In the USA, the Department of Treasury, not the Federal Reserve, is the main organization International economic policy, including policy vis-à-vis the dollar, and the secretary of the Treasury has estimated that the determination of the value of the dollar should remain free market forces. “Less than two weeks later, Paul O’Neill, secretary of the treasury called Bernanke This point of view, it was said, by the White House to resign on December 5.

In February 2001, O’Neill said publicly: “We are not, as often, a policy of a strong dollar. In my opinion, a strong dollar is the result of a strong economy. “Financial markets have reacted with massive dollar selling Treasury Department and force them to clarify this question a day later:” The secretary supports dollar strong. There is no change of policy. ”

O’Neill said on February 18: “I think I made a mistake to believe that it was correct to talk about simple things. So I will be very clear: I believe in a strong dollar, and if I decide to relocate, an attitude that I will Arrivals Yankee Stadium exciting wind and some chapels, and announced that the change in policy around the world . ”

O’Neill was true that the value against the dollar is not the substance of “simple things”. The U.S. economy has stalled on a strong dollar policy for almost a decade. The U.S. government can not waive expressly without any international market confidence in the dollar, promoting an exodus of USA and rising long-term debt interest rates.

While since the beginning of 2002, the dollar has more than 30 per cent of its level against the euro, but not be summarized to one end of the strong dollar policy. The USA was optimistic about the fall of the dollar against the currencies only. Since its low this year, in mid-June, the dollar has rebounded by 6 percent against the euro.

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